How probable is a nuclear weapons terrorist attack?

Mudassir Ali
Feb 11, 2020 05:11 AM 0 Answers
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Mudassir Ali
- Feb 11, 2020 05:11 AM

Highly improbable.

A Pakistani nuclear scientist was asked this question on TV. He was asked, what if a nuclear bomb is stolen (unlikely, but let’s assume) and the truck it is being carried in is rammed into a building.

His answer was that that’s not how nuclear bombs work. The nuclear bomb might break, but not detonate as the detonation mechanism doesn’t work like a stick of dynamite. Keep in mind most nuclear bombs are geared to be placed on weapons delivery systems (most likely rockets) and it’s not like one guy pulling a pin.

Also, the layers of security are incredible. The Pakistani nuclear hot test in 1999 was conducted underground in a mountain range. The aircraft it was carried in was surrounded by 4 F16s, all were told to turn off their radio while they are in the air, and all were told to pursue (and shoot down if necessary) the plane carrying the bomb if it went off course.

So even if terrorists can steal a nuclear bomb (they are not great at stealing btw) it is unlikely they can pull off a detonation.

I know a number of US nuclear bombs have gone missing. But then again, they just had too many

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