What are the chances of an Ebola outbreak in the United States (as of September 2014)?

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Mudassir Ali 8 months 1 Answer 111 views

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  1. Originally Answered: What are the chances of an Ebola outbreak in the United States?
    Recent computer models indicated a high (over 1 in 5) probability of travelers carrying Ebola arriving in the US in the next few months. Given tens of thousands now infected, one can see both the CDC and the US federal government preparing for that eventuality as a given.

    I think it’s pretty obvious that if things continue as they have the USA is going to see some domestic cases, sooner or later. It seems almost inevitable.

    The question becomes to what extent will sporadic arrivals of Ebola actually cause more than minor outbreaks of several patients at a time, and perhaps more to the point to what degree will Ebola change now that it is established in a population of tens of thousands? Ebola as it is today is unpleasant and scary, but manageable… But a more virulent strain which becomes as ubiquitous as the Flu is a terrifying possibility which no one can entirely discount.

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