Will electric cars replace gas cars in twenty years?

Question
Mudassir Ali 8 months 1 Answer 120 views

Answer ( 1 )

  1. No, but it’s possible that there will be more of them than gas cars.

    Electric cars aren’t the end-all in transportation; they’re a third option, next to gas and diesel. They’ll meet the needs of 80–90% of owner requirements, but there’s still that 10–20% it won’t.

    Commuter cars will skew toward electric. Cars that are heavily driven over long distances will stay gasoline – I know every EV owner likes to rationalize how “great” it is to take a 30–90 minute break from driving a long trip while waiting for charging, but the reality is that’s a trade-off that many users aren’t willing to make (myself included – I wouldn’t use my EV for a long road trip, period).

    Heavy trucks will still primarily use diesel. Diesel is more energy dense than any battery that exists, and “time is money” in the trucking business – if your wheels aren’t turning, you aren’t getting paid. The Tesla and Nikola semi trucks have too short of a range and take too long to charge to be viable for long hauls.

    If charge times improve (to, say, the 5–10 minute range) or battery swaps become the standard, this will change and EV’s will likely replace gas vehicles. As for diesel, I predict we’ll still have diesel vehicles on the road 100 years from now.

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