Will the new coronavirus ever go away?

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Mudassir Ali
Mar 11, 2020 11:21 AM 0 Answers
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Mudassir Ali
- Mar 11, 2020 11:22 AM

Let’s start with the Current Scenario: [1]

Total Cases: 101,587

Total Recovered: 55,863

Total Death: 3,460

Future of COVID-19:

There are only three possible endings to this coronavirus story:

1. The outbreak could be controlled via public-health interventions and disappear as SARS did:

COVID-19 outbreak is similar to the 2003 SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) outbreak in many ways: Both are coronaviruses that originated in bats[2] , and both likely jumped from animals to people in Chinese wet markets.[3]
The two viruses share about 80% of their DNA. So the outcome of the new outbreak could be similar to that of SARS, too. SARS killed 774 people and infected more than 8,000 between November 2002 and July 2003 but disappeared by 2004.
So, COVID-19 would either disappear eventually or become like Zika or H1N1.

2. A vaccine could be developed:

Five leading drug companies – Johnson & Johnson, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, GlaxoSmithKline, Moderna, and Gilead Sciences – have announced plans [4]to research and develop treatments for the new virus.
So, the introduction of a vaccine would decrease the number of people susceptible to the coronavirus and create a “sustained firewall” against its further spread of COVID-19.

3. Or, the coronavirus will become a permanent part of the repertoire of human viruses, perhaps like seasonal flu:

The flu is seasonal because cooler temperatures help harden a protective gel-like coating that surrounds the virus while it’s in the air. A stronger shell ensures it can survive long enough in the air to travel from one person to the next.
A possibility is there because Numerous human viruses, including influenza and some other coronaviruses (there are several), are seasonal, typically striking in the cooler months, with cases declining as summer nears.

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